When our son was an infant, my wife and I never spoke “baby talk” to him. We’d talk to him in our normal speaking voice, much like anyone would speak to an adult. As a result (we think), he started talking a month or two later than most kids but when he did start talking, he was almost instantly using complete sentences.
I remember the three of us driving in a car when he was about three years old. He was strapped in his car seat behind us and said, “Hey dad?” “What?”, I replied.” “Is there a big difference between possible and probable?”, he asked.
That’s a good question for anyone to ask and a great question for a 3-year-old. Our practice was to give him answers as we would an adult and it was up to him to ask more questions if he didn’t understand what we said. So, I told him that if something is possible, it could happen. But, if something is probable, it likely would happen. He seemed happy with the answer and we continued our previous conversation.
What I probably should have also said was that for something to be probable, it must first be possible. In other words, before something can be likely to happen, it must first be possible that it can happen.
For example, let’s say that you rolled two dice a dozen times. Is it possible that they would come up snake eyes twelve times in a row? Yes. But is it likely that it would happen? No. In fact, the chance of that happening is so low that most people would consider it to be impossible.
The media has declared accusations of voting fraud to be “baseless”. They claim there was no cheating involved in the election and they expect people to believe it because they said it is so. But you shouldn’t believe anything without first thinking for yourself. If someone asks you to believe something, you need to consider if it could happen as well is the likelihood that it would happen.
Let’s apply that thinking to the 2020 election.
Is it possible that the Republicans gained house seats, that every Republican incumbent was reelected, but that Trump lost the presidency? Yes. But is it probable? No.
Trump was clearly ahead in multiple battleground states before the vote counting was inexplicably stopped. Is it possible that, when counting resumed, Joe Biden would be ahead in each of those states without the influence of cheating? Yes. But is it probable? No.
In Wisconsin, the results had been consistent all night with Trump ahead of Biden by around 1%. Is it possible that 143,379 votes were counted in one batch and 96% of them were for Biden? Yes. But is it probable? No.
Is it possible that there can be more counted votes than registered voters? No.
Is it possible that hundreds of people who have sworn affidavits that they witnessed election fraud are either mistaken or lying? Yes. But is it probable? No.
Is it possible that no election fraud occurred while partisan observers were being unlawfully and forcibly blocked from monitoring the counting process? Yes. But is it probable? No.
Two Republican members of the Michigan Board of State Canvassers were harassed and coerced into certifying the election results, even though there were dozens of issues with the results. Is it possible the coercion wasn’t an attempt to hide election fraud? Yes. But is it probable? No.
There are simply too many things concerning the 2020 election that are either impossible, improbable or both. To believe that Joe Biden won the election without cheating would mean that you’d have to believe that a lot of impossible and/or unlikely things occurred almost simultaneously. But, the chance of all those things happening at all is so low that most people would consider it to be impossible.
There’s a big difference between possible and probable. And those differences are important. While it is possible that the Biden campaign didn’t conspire to steal the election, it’s very probable that they did.
