PonkaBlog

The Pulse of America

The election in November shouldn’t even be close.  There’s ample proof of what would happen to this country, and the world, if Kamala Harris were to be elected President of the United States.  Nobody with a lick of sense would vote to keep the Democrats in power.

Unfortunately, there are a lot of people without a lick of sense.  The election shouldn’t be close.  But I suspect it will be.  Or will, at the very least, appear to be so.

On November 6th, or the 7th, or the 10th, or whenever the Democrats get done counting their fake votes, about half the country is going to be very disappointed.  The way things are going, I’ll probably be one of them.

That’s right.  As useless as both Kamala and Tim Walz are, I’m still concerned that Trump is going to lose the election.

I believe the polls will be partly to blame.  Not the Poles as in people from Poland.  I don’t have a problem with them.  I’m sure some of them are very fine people.  I blame political polls.

A political poll is when a statistically insignificant number of people are asked who they plan on voting for.  The tallied results are used to extrapolate how 170 million or so people would answer the same question.

Let me tell you something you may not already know.  Polls are useless.  At least for us.  That’s because in recent years political polls have been weaponized.  Actually, they may have always been weaponized. 

In any case, they are now.

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I cringe every time I see someone showing the results of a poll predicting the outcome of the 2024 election.  Because as worthless as the data provided by political polls is, it still has the ability to influence a presidential election.

And that’s exactly what’s happening.

Statistically Insignificant

The typical political poll will have somewhere between 500 and 1,000 participants.  Let’s say a poll hits the top end of that range.  Considering there’s just shy of 170 million registered voters in the U.S., any reasonable person would think that 1,000 people just isn’t enough. 

1,000 participants is a sample size of .000588 percent of registered voters. Put another way, that’s only 20 people per state. 

A recent “nationwide” Harvard-Harris poll surveyed 2,196 voters.  That’s still less than 44 people per state.

Think of your own state for a minute.  How likely is it that 20 random people, or 43 random people, could be selected whose opinions would accurately reflect the opinions of every other person in your state?

If your state is anything like California, then the answer to that question is “not very damn likely”.

Now, some polls will try to adjust the responses based on criteria like gender, region, race, marital status, household size, income, employment and education.  The intent here is to try to slice and dice the data in such a way that a single person can represent a number of different demographic groups.

But that only works if people tell the truth.  Whenever I’m asked to participate in a poll, I usually just decline the invitation.  But every now and then I will participate.  And when I do, I lie.  That’s right, I just make shit up. 

Depending on my mood or level of irritation for being bothered by a pollster, I may just “identify” as a 29-year-old single, unemployed, high-school dropout, black woman with seven kids living in a house with 10 of my aunts and uncles. 

Their goal is to use my responses to paint America in a particular way.  My goal is to fuck with them.  I’m guessing that I’m not the only one that does this. 

It’s all BS

If I’m one of 20 people polled in California, I’m providing 5% of their data.  So, since the data they collect from me is bullshit, then the results of their data is going to be bullshit.  Or at least horseshit.  I forget which is worse.

Actually, now that I think about it, there appears to be some alchemy going on here.  Bullshit is when someone lies or makes something up.  And horseshit is synonymous with “nonsense”.  So, the results of a poll based on bullshit is horseshit.  Funny how it works out that way.

Yet people look at political polls as if they’re something more than just misinformation.  Granted, they do have some entertainment value, but that’s about all they’re good for.

If the small sample size, and the inherent dishonesty in people, wasn’t enough to convince you to not trust political polls, then consider this.  Since you’re reading this, you likely already know not to trust the mainstream media.  They’ve proven time and time again that they have no regard for the truth and are only interested in pushing a leftist agenda.

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The people you don’t trust in the mainstream media are in many cases the same people who are conducting these political polls.  Why on earth would you think that any data they show you isn’t also meant to push a leftist agenda? 

Even the Harvard-Harris poll I mentioned earlier should be suspect.  The name “Harvard” used to mean something.  Well, technically, it still does mean something.  It’s just that now it means something else.

These polls are designed to support a particular narrative that is designed to influence voters.

Dangerously Influential

If a poll comes out and says that Trump is ahead by a large margin, who benefits?  Well, Kamala of course.  Because if Trump supporters believe that Trump has a comfortable lead, they’re less likely to bother to vote. 

And while this race shouldn’t be close, it quite likely will be.  So, if Trump supporters stay home because they think the election is already won, then Trump could possibly loose.

If a poll shows that Kamala is trailing Trump, her followers will be energized to vote for her and send her money.

It’s unlikely that we’re going to see polls showing Kamala Harris with a huge lead over Trump.  Everyone knows such a thing could never happen. 

I also don’t think we’re going to see many polls showing that Kamala is slightly ahead of Trump.  There may be a few but it’s not going to happen as we get closer to election day.  Because that would encourage more Trump supporters to get out and vote.

No, what we’re seeing, and what we’re going to continue to see, are polls indicating that Kamala isn’t that far behind Trump. 

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Just like it’s dangerous to believe the mainstream media is fair and impartial, it’s also dangerous to even consider political polls.  Because once you start paying attention to the polls, you can be manipulated. 

You just need to think it’s possible

The people running Kamala’s campaign don’t need Trump supporters to believe that she’s going to win.  They just need you to start thinking that she could win.  Because then you’ll be less surprised when they fake enough votes to push Kamala over the top.

The Harris campaign’s use of political polling is just another way of gaslighting Americans into believing that the election is going to be close.  They know that if they can convince you that she could win, they can also convince you that she did win.

No matter what you may hear between now and election day, keep in mind that every single bit of it is designed to manipulate you.  And that includes political polls. 

So, here’s what I’m asking you to do.  Come November, ignore everything you’re being told about which candidate is in the lead.  Ignore it all.  Don’t be manipulated into thinking that your vote either doesn’t matter or isn’t needed.

Get out and vote.  Because, while the election shouldn’t be close, it likely will be.

And while political polls are statistically insignificant, your vote is not.  It could be your vote that decides the fates of America and the rest of the free world.  And don’t let anyone fool you into thinking otherwise.

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Mike is just an average guy with a lot of opinions. He's a big fan of facts, logic and reason and uses them to try to make sense of the things he sees. His pronoun preference is flerp/flop/floop.